HeavyweightSat, Oct 175:00 PM ET

Jhonata DinizvsTanner Boser

Our read

DinizBoser

71%29%

From the corner

Diniz has the size edge everywhere that matters here, taller with a monster reach advantage over Boser and sharper accuracy at 59% to land clean. Boser's a durable veteran who throws more volume, but he's undersized for heavyweight and both guys are the same age with zero recent momentum either way. This looks like Diniz's length and power keeping Boser on the end of punches most of the fight.

What beats it

Boser's experience edge in sheer fight count and his ability to walk through strikes could let him close distance and turn this into a dog fight where reach stops mattering.

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DinizTale of the tapeBoser

9–2
Record: 22–11; 35
Age: 35; 193cm
Height: 188cm; 201cm
Reach: 191cm; Orthodox
Stance: Orthodox; 0
Win streak: 0; 3.67
Strikes / min: 4.82; 59%
Strike accuracy: 54%; 0.00
Takedowns / 15m: 0.00; —
Takedown accuracy: 0%; 0.0
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.0

Markets

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Winner

LEAN

71%Diniz wins

DraftKings: -230/+190
FanDuel: -260/+196
BetMGM: -250/+200

Over 2.5 rounds

NEUTRAL

44%it goes past round 2

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