LightweightSat, Oct 178:00 PM ET

Mandel NallovsNate Landwehr

Our read

NalloLandwehr

69%31%

From the corner

Nallo's got a real size and reach edge here, 7.5 inches of reach over Landwehr, and he outlands him in volume and accuracy on the feet. Landwehr's a gritty scrapper who brings takedowns and sub attempts, but he's shorter, older, and has to find a way through that jab first. Books and our numbers line up close, so there's no real gap to exploit.

What beats it

Landwehr's chain-wrestling and relentless forward pressure can close the distance and turn this into a scramble fest where Nallo's reach stops mattering.

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NalloTale of the tapeLandwehr

14–4
Record: 18–8; 37
Age: 38; 183cm
Height: 175cm; 191cm
Reach: 183cm; Orthodox
Stance: Orthodox; 0
Win streak: 0; 7.68
Strikes / min: 5.55; 52%
Strike accuracy: 46%; 0.00
Takedowns / 15m: 0.73; —
Takedown accuracy: 42%; 0.0
Sub attempts / 15m: 0.7

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

NEUTRAL

69%Nallo wins

DraftKings: -285/+230
FanDuel: -310/+230
BetMGM: -275/+220

Over 1.5 rounds

NEUTRAL

33%it goes past round 1

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