Cornerman
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
HeavyweightSat, Oct 175:00 PM ET

Javad MahjoubvsLouie Sutherland

Our read
MahjoubSutherland
53%47%

From the corner

Mahjoub is undefeated at 5-0 with a judo base and a habit of finishing fights early, but he's never stepped into the cage against this level of competition, so he's a true unknown quantity here. Sutherland brings the reach edge at 193cm and a live wrestling game at 4.49 takedowns per 15, with 11-6 experience against tougher comp, but he's cold on a zero win streak. This is close to a coin flip with the books essentially shrugging at the newcomer's unproven tape.

What beats it

If Mahjoub's judo and power translate up in competition the way they did on regional cards, this blows past the number, but if the step up in class exposes him, Sutherland's reach and volume takedowns could control the fight.

MahjoubTale of the tapeSutherland
5–0
Record
11–6
35
Age
33
185cm
Height
191cm
—
Reach
193cm
—
Stance
Orthodox
—
Win streak
0
—
Strikes / min
1.80
—
Strike accuracy
69%
—
Takedowns / 15m
4.49
—
Takedown accuracy
40%
—
Sub attempts / 15m
0.0

Markets

Best price highlighted

Winner

NEUTRAL
53%Mahjoub wins
DraftKings
-118/-102
FanDuel
-120/-106
BetMGM
-110/-110

Over 1.5 rounds

NEUTRAL
47%it goes past round 1
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